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1. A Prob 140 student comes to lecture at a time that is uniformly distributed between 5:09 and 5:14. Independently of the student, the professor begins the lecture at a time that is uniformly distributed between 5:10 and 5:12. What is the chance that the lecture has already begun when the student arrives?

2. For some constant cc let XX and YY have a joint density given by

f(x,y) = {c(xy),  0<y<x<10              otherwise.f(x, y) ~ = ~ \begin{cases} c(x - y), ~~ 0 < y < x < 1 \\ 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ \text{otherwise.} \end{cases}

(a) Draw the region over which ff is positive.

(b) Find cc.

(c) Find P(X>Y+0.4)P(X > Y + 0.4). Before you calculate, shade the event on the diagram you drew in (a).

(d) Find the density of XX.

(e) Are XX and YY independent?

(f) Find E(XY)E(XY).

3. Let XX and YY have joint density ff given by

f(x,y) = {40243x(3x)(xy),    0<y<x<30                                  otherwise.f(x, y) ~ = ~ \begin{cases} \frac{40}{243}x(3-x)(x-y), ~~~~ 0 < y < x < 3 \\ 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ \text{otherwise.} \end{cases}

Write the each of the following in terms of ff but do not simplify the expression. Integrals should not include regions where f(x,y)=0f(x, y) = 0.

(a) P(Y>1)P(Y > 1)

(b) the conditional density of XX given Y=1Y = 1 (please be clear about the values on which the density is positive)

(c) E(eXY)E(e^{XY})

4. The joint density of XX and YY is

f(x,y) = {24xy,   x,y>0 and 0<x+y<10             otherwise.f(x, y) ~ = ~ \begin{cases} 24xy, ~~~ x, y > 0 \text{ and } 0 < x+y < 1 \\ 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~ \text{otherwise.} \end{cases}

(a) Find the density of XX. Recognize this as one of the famous ones and state its name and parameters.

(b) Without further calculation, find the density of YY and justify your answer.

(c) Are XX and YY independent? Why or why not?

(d) Find the conditional density of XX given Y=0.75Y = 0.75. As always, start with the possible values.

(e) Find P(X>0.2Y=0.75)P(X > 0.2 \mid Y = 0.75).

(f) Find E(XY=0.75)E(X \mid Y = 0.75).

5. Let UiU_i, 1i201 \le i \le 20 be i.i.d. uniform (0,1)(0, 1) variables, and let U(k)U_{(k)} be the kkth order statistic.

(a) What is the density of U(7)U_{(7)}?

(b) Without integrating the density, find the cdf of U(7)U_{(7)}.

[Draw a line representing the unit interval and put down crosses representing the variables. For U(7)U_{(7)} to be less than xx, how must you distribute the crosses?]

(c) Find the joint density of U(7)U_{(7)} and U(12)U_{(12)}.

6. A random variable XX has the beta (2,2)(2, 2) density. Given X=xX = x, the conditional distribution of the random variable YY is uniform on the interval (x,x)(-x, x).

(a) Find P(Y<0.2X=0.6)P(Y < 0.2 \mid X = 0.6).

(b) Find E(Y)E(Y).

(c) Find the joint density of XX and YY. Remember to specify the region where it is positive.

(d) Find P(X<0.3,Y<0.3X)P(X < 0.3, \vert Y \vert < 0.3X).

7. Let XX and YY be i.i.d. with a joint density.

(a) Find P(Y>X)P(Y > X).

(b) Find P(Y>X)P(\vert Y \vert > \vert X \vert).

(c) If XX and YY are i.i.d. standard normal, find P(Y>X)P(Y > \vert X \vert).

8. Two points are placed independently and uniformly at random on the unit interval. This creates three segments of the interval. What is the chance that the three segments can form a triangle?

[To find probabilities of events determined by two independent uniform (0,1)(0,1) random variables, it’s a good idea to draw the unit square.]

9. Let XX have the beta (r,s)(r, s) density. Find Var(X)Var(X). You can assume rr and ss are integers.