Data 140: Probability for Data Science

UC Berkeley, Fall 2025

Week 2

Sep 2

The Week 2 Study Guide has been released.
Homework 2 and Lab 2 have been released. They are both due next Monday, September 8th at 5 PM.
Quiz 1 will take place across next Tuesday, September 9th and Wednesday, September 10th. An announcements on how to sign up for a quiz slot will be made on Ed.

Calendar

Jump to current week

Week 1: Introduction

Aug 27

Guide Week 1

Aug 28

Lecture Probability: axioms, rules, approximation: Course Information, Ch 1, 2

Homework Homework 1: Due Sep 2 at 9 AM

Lab Lab 1: Due Sep 2 at 9 AM

Aug 29

Mega-Section

Week 2: Random Variables and Symmetry

Sep 1

Labor Day

Guide Week 2

Sep 2

Lecture Random variables: distributions, equality, conditioning: Ch 3, 4

Homework Homework 2: Due Sep 8 at 5 PM

Lab Lab 2: Due Sep 8 at 5 PM

Sep 3

Section

Sep 4

Lecture Symmetry and collections of events: Ch 5

Sep 5

Mega-Section

Week 3: Random Counts

Sep 8

Sep 9

Lecture Binomial and related counts; a Poisson limit: Ch 6

Quiz Quiz 1, Day 1

Sep 10

Section

Quiz Quiz 1, Day 2

Sep 11

Lecture Independence and Poissonization: Ch 7

Sep 12

Mega-Section

Week 4: Expectation

Sep 15

Sep 16

Lecture Expectation: Ch 8.1 - 8.3

Sep 17

Section

Sep 18

Lecture Expectation and additivity: Ch 8.4 - 8.5

Sep 19

Mega-Section

Week 5: Conditioning and Markov Chains

Sep 22

Sep 23

Lecture Expectation by conditioning: Ch 9

Quiz Quiz 2, Day 1

Sep 24

Section

Quiz Quiz 2, Day 2

Sep 25

Lecture Long run behavior of Markov chains: Ch 10

Sep 26

Mega-Section

Week 6: Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Sep 29

Exam Midterm 1: 8PM - 10PM

Sep 30

Lecture Balance: Ch 10, 11.1

Oct 1

Section

Oct 2

Lecture Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Ch 11.2 - 11.3

Oct 3

Mega-Section

Week 7: Variance and Tail Bounds

Oct 6

Oct 7

Lecture Standard deviation and tail bounds: Ch 12

Oct 8

Section

Oct 9

Lecture Covariance and its uses: Ch 13

Oct 10

Mega-Section

Week 8: Central Limit Theorem and Densities

Oct 13

Oct 14

Lecture Central Limit Theorem: Ch 14

Quiz Quiz 3, Day 1

Oct 15

Section

Quiz Quiz 3, Day 2

Oct 16

Lecture Probability densities: Ch 15

Oct 17

Mega-Section

Week 9: Transformations and Joint Densities

Oct 20

Oct 21

Lecture Transformations: Ch 16

Oct 22

Section

Oct 23

Lecture Joint densities: Ch 17

Oct 24

Mega-Section

Week 10: The Beta, Normal, and Gamma Families

Oct 27

Oct 28

Lecture Joint distributions; sums of normal and gamma variables: Ch 17, Ch 18

Quiz Quiz 4, Day 1

Oct 29

Section

Quiz Quiz 4, Day 2

Oct 30

Lecture Moment generating functions; Chernoff bound: Ch 19

Oct 31

Mega-Section

Week 11: MGFs, MLE, and MAP

Nov 3

Exam Midterm 2: 8PM - 10PM

Nov 4

Lecture MLE; conditioning; MAP estimates: Ch 20

Nov 5

Section

Nov 6

Lecture The beta and the binomial: Ch 21

Nov 7

Mega-Section

Week 12: The Beta and the Binomial; Prediction

Nov 10

Nov 11

Veterans Day

Nov 12

Section

Nov 13

Lecture Prediction and error: Ch 22.1 - 22.2

Nov 14

Mega-Section

Week 13: Variance by Conditioning and Random Vectors

Nov 17

Nov 18

Lecture Variance by conditioning: Ch 22.3 - 22.4

Quiz Quiz 5, Day 1

Nov 19

Section

Quiz Quiz 5, Day 2

Nov 20

Lecture Random vectors; the multivariate normal: Ch 23

Nov 21

Mega-Section

Week 14: Simple Regression

Nov 24

Nov 25

Lecture Correlation and simple regression: Ch 24

Nov 26

Thanksgiving Break

Nov 27

Thanksgiving Break

Nov 28

Thanksgiving Break

Week 15: Multiple Regression

Dec 1

Dec 2

Lecture Multiple regression I: Ch 25.1 - 25.3

Dec 3

Section

Dec 4

Lecture Multiple regression II: Ch 25.4

Dec 5

Mega-Section

Week 16: Reading, Review, Recitation

Dec 8: RRR Week
Dec 9: RRR Week
Dec 10: RRR Week
Dec 11: RRR Week
Dec 12: RRR Week

Week 17: Final Exams

Dec 19

Exam Final Exam: 7PM - 10PM