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The expected value μX\mu_X of a random variable XX is a measure of the center of the distribution of XX. But we know that XX need not be equal to μX\mu_X; indeed, μX\mu_X need not even be a possible value of XX.

How far from μX\mu_X can XX be? This chapter develops an answer to that question, by examining the mean squared error familiar to you from Data 8.